Years ago, veteran political strategist Mark McKinnon  "If you are wrong, no one remembers – "If you are right, everyone thinks you are a political genius."
Fortified by that philosophy, in April of last year I put forth "Five Reasons Kamala Harris likely wants be Dems' pick. "
Martin Luther King Day when California's junior senator – – This is an official announcement her bid to seek the Democratic presidential nomination.
And since nine months approximately equates to a century in political-dog-years, Harris' announcement offers me an irresistible opportunity to revisit my original ideas through the lens of 201
What follows is a re-run of those five original reasons – with some new observations.
. 1 Kamala Harris is a woman.
Stating the obvious, I wrote that the former California attorney general's gender was a "powerful advantage," because women "are the heart, soul and energy of the [Democratic] party." They are unified by a "passionate loathing for what they believe is a misogynist man who currently occupies the White House and his 'deplorable' followers who defeated Hillary Clinton."
But that was then, and this is now. In November's midterms, the Democratic women's party was commissioned by 89 female house members – up from 62 – resulting in a Democrats winning control of the chamber and installing a female speaker of the house.
By comparison, Republicans elected only 13 female house members, down from 23 seats.
Need more proof that the political power of Democratic women has increased? Three female Democratic senators have just declared their presidential intentions and the rumblings of Minnesota's Amy Klobuchar could make it four.
Harris' chances of winning the nomination? Think of her gender as a stool on which the following four reasons are piled, making the stack even taller.
2. Kamala Harris is mixed race.
Again, it's obvious, but the midterms proved that Democrats are increasingly nominating racially diverse candidates to high office. Back in April I wrote, "As a mixed-race daughter of immigrants, Harris could be viewed culturally as the political 'poster child' of America's future. Her Jamaican father came to the U.S. in 1961 and forth mother from India in 1960. "
Naturally, Harris wants to use her unique blend of ethnicity to gain every conceivable political advantage because she can. other than white is perceived as young, cool and more relatable. That sentiment is nicely summed up in Harris' campaign slogan, "For the People." (To my ears, that borders on sounding socialist, but it still beats Hillary Clinton's "I'm with her" in 2016, which translated means "It's all about me. ")
3. Kamala Harris: America's new "role model."
Harris' story arc only needs a white house ending. [Noun, masculine]
Now, given recent headlines, I need to add "daughter of immigrants," a phrase we are sure to hear and read about ad nauseam . Furthermore, Harris has the advantage because he is a mixed-race "daughter of immigrants, "representing the nation's largest state," "fighting" (of course) "for the people," expect to hear "role model" in the media, so to the point of ad nauseam .
. 4 Barack Obama wants to help Harris with her campaign .
Talk about a media narrative. In 2015, when Harris was quiet California's attorney general – a Washington Post headline boldly asked, "Is Kamala Harris the Next Obama?"
Mirroring Obama, she is running for president after Harris has been following his political playbook to the T. th President's affection for Harris, in 2013 he will be called "the best-looking attorney general in the country. ")
I've been writing about Obama's Democratic Party kingmaker, and now the" KamalaBama "is beginning to come to an end , Yee-hah!
. 5 Kamala Harris has a strategic advantage over President Trump.
Trump personally attack her?
Then imagine Harris, a former prosecutor with a big-mouth gutsy style and "fighter" persona, versus Trump – who never stops fighting. This prospective match-up wants to make Clinton. Trump look quaint by comparison.
On Harris' side, she wants to be campaigning in a nation polarized to the hilt, a country becoming more mixed-race and progressively left-leaning. (Dare I say socialist?)
Conversely, Trump has a solid base of roughly 40 percent of voters, and most significant, the power of incumbency with a 68.7 percent re-election rate for all U.S. Patents.
Harris trumped him by a margin of 48 per cent.
The bad news for Trump is a general election poll conducted by Public Policy Polling (a Democratic pollster) 41 percent. In fact, every Democrat candidate in the poll, declared or undeclared, defeated the president with five of 12 percentage points.
A bright spot for my fellow Republicans is that a leading political prediction market favors Trump's re-election.
At this writing, I realistically know that it's too early to predict such a confrontational Trump / Harris match-up, so what's true in April 2018. But, nine months later, at least Harris has declared her presidential intentions.
Politics in the Trump era has evolved into high-stakes entertainment and a Harris / Trump race offers the potential to be the greatest blockbuster of all time. Or dare I say ballbuster?