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You probably will not be hit by space debris this weekend



  Researchers install China's first space station module, Tiangong-1, before launch on September 29, 2011, at the Jiuquan satellite launch center in Gansu Province, northwest China.



Researchers are installing China's first space station module, Tiangong-1, at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in the northwestern Chinese province of Gansu prior to launch on September 29, 2011.


Unknown / AP

They will likely Not to be hit by space debris But there is a small chance – actually quite thin – that Montrealers could see the remains of a space station burned in the atmosphere south of us.

China's out-of-control Tiangong 1 space station went rogue in 2016 and it is now falling back to Earth. It is expected that it will end sometime on this long weekend, with the 1st of April the most probable date (no joke). The station weighs 8.5 tonnes and can comfortably accommodate three Taikonauten. It was launched in 2011 and was unmanned when China lost contact five years later.

It is more likely to fall along the 43rd latitude north, which crosses Lake George, N.Y., 300 kilometers south of Montreal. The 43rd latitude also extends across Asia, Europe and the rest of North America. But Tiangong-1 could also fall deep into the southern hemisphere, which mainly consists of the ocean, but also from Australia and South America. Beyond these two more likely likelihoods, scientists do not know where they land on Earth.

Experts predict space debris will burn as a very bright fireball, which can even be seen when it falls during the day. It could break into several smaller fireballs on the way down, but chances of it hitting a person "are about one million times smaller than the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot," said the Aerospace Corporation.

If you go down to Lake George to look for Tiangong-1's re-entry, you might as well get a powerball while you're there.

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