The Communist Party was always aware of the power of mass protests.
Mao Zedong used the traditional saying in 1930: "A single spark can trigger a prairie fire" to remind the communist fellow strikers of the power of strikes and uprisings when they were still a young opposition party under the nationalist one-party rule.
Today, Chinese leaders are likely to argue a lot more sharply when they see pictures of millions protesting a controversial law in Hong Kong this month.
Rocked During the biggest political crisis in decades, millions of people have taken to the streets to protest against a law allowing the extradition of people to mainland China, where the courts are controlled by the Communist Party.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told reporters last week It was "extremely alarming that Western forces are causing problems and provoking confrontation to undermine Hong Kong's peace and stability."
Casting Pro Tests as Conspiracies, which were triggered by "anti-Western forces" are a story not new to the Chinese government.
The Tiananmen movement, finally defeated by the military in 1989, was called a conspiracy supported by Western powers to overthrow Communist rule. The 500,000-strong protest in Hong Kong against a proposed subversion law in 2003 and the 79-day civil disobedience movement "Umbrella" in 2014 were also blamed on "foreign forces" who are undermining China.
A representative from Hong Kong in the Chinese parliament warned against the interference of "foreign forces" and warned people against becoming "farmers" in the US-China trade war.
"According to Communist ideology," we are the representatives of the people. "Therefore, the party can not accept people who oppose it and force them to retreat," said Joseph Cheng, a retired professor of political science at City University in Hong Kong
The authorities also have a deep-seated tendency to blame problems Political commentator and seasoned journalist Ching Cheong said, "China sees Hong Kong as influenced by years of colonial rule and without Sen's responsibility to introduce or introduce laws to protect national security And they believe that enemy forces are using the "color revolution" to overthrow China through Hong Kong. "
Chinese leaders have often warned against the" color revolution "- movements that lead to regime change through nonviolent resistance – and Chinese President Xi Jinpin g warned officials in January of political risks that could jeopardize the rule of the Communist Party.
"The Communist Party fears mass protests," said Willy Lam, a China expert at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Xi was particularly afraid of unforeseen events that might disturb the status quo.
After the current crisis, analysts will assume that the Hong Kong government will launch a new round of retaliatory measures against their critics, while the Chinese government will tighten its control over the situation city.
"They will definitely take revenge, otherwise they can not justify themselves as an effective regime," Lam said.
Analy Citizens expect the Hong Kong government to expand the prosecution of those involved in the protests. Last week, police said 32 people were arrested in recent demonstrations and five were charged with rioting that would imprison a maximum of ten years.
Analysts also believe that the government will further weaken the pro-democracy camp by disqualifying more of its electoral candidates. Six MPs have already been dismissed and candidates who are considered independent have been prevented from applying for public office.
And Beijing will likely try to gain more power over Hong Kong, accelerate its integration with China, and intensify ideological education, analysts say.
"China will step up its intervention. As after the 2003 protest, China will take a closer look, "Cheng said.
At the behest of China, Hong Kong has already launched a series of infrastructure projects that support integration with the mainland, such as a bridge connecting Hong Kong. Macau and the Greater Bay Area in southern China, and a billion-dollar high-speed rail link connecting the city and the mainland. And more resources are likely to be devoted to patriotism initiatives, such as increasing youth ideological education, analysts say.
After fighting not only the pro-democracy camp, but also the business world and even pro-government politicians Englisch: www.socialistgroup.org/gpes/session…08&place=STR Hong Kong boss Carrie Lam relies even more on her Beijing champions, Cheng said. "It will get even closer to China," he said.
However, as there is no real solution to address the Hong Kong people's problems for democracy and more freedom, these policies will only deepen the political crisis in Hong Kong and trigger more violent outbreaks. Dissatisfaction is expected on the streets.
"The point is that there is no democracy and no mutual controls, so bigger mistakes happen," Cheng warned. "Conflicts will continue to accumulate and one day they will explode."